Graded against the box score
FanDuel prop hit rates
For each player and stat: how often the over hit against the closing FanDuel line, across their most recent graded games. Every rate shows its sample size, because three games is not a trend.
FanDuel API is an independent data service operated by FF API Inc. It is not affiliated with, endorsed by or sponsored by FanDuel.
Over hit rates, last 10 graded games
| Player | League | Stat | Games | Over | Under | Hit rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justus Annunensaves | NHL | saves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | +1.5 |
| Mackenzie Blackwoodsaves | NHL | saves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | +0.5 |
| Martin Necasshots on goal | NHL | shots on goal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | +0.5 |
| Nazem Kadrishots on goal | NHL | shots on goal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | +0.5 |
| Artturi Lehkonenshots on goal | NHL | shots on goal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | -0.5 |
| Brock Nelsonshots on goal | NHL | shots on goal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | -0.5 |
| Cale Makarshots on goal | NHL | shots on goal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | -2.5 |
| Nathan MacKinnonshots on goal | NHL | shots on goal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | -2.5 |
Read them per league or player with GET /api/v1/hit-rates?league=NHL&last=10.
How it is worked out
- Each full-game prop is graded once its game is final: the closing line against the player's box score value gives over, under or push. Anything that cannot be matched with certainty is a void, with its reason.
- Per player and stat, the last graded games are taken, one per game, and pushes are left out of the rate.
- Average margin is the box score value minus the closing line, averaged over those games.
The graded rows behind these rates are on graded examples. A hit rate is history, not a forecast.
Questions
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